Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.038562 0.041958 0.045380 0.049080 0.052962 0.056907 0.061215
2025-10-19 0.033461 0.038504 0.043754 0.049603 0.055915 0.062498 0.069860
2025-10-26 0.029620 0.035858 0.042543 0.050185 0.058625 0.067613 0.077858
2025-11-02 0.025053 0.031948 0.039556 0.048472 0.058540 0.069467 0.082137
2025-11-09 0.022033 0.029474 0.037904 0.048003 0.059622 0.072435 0.087499
2025-11-16 0.019616 0.027472 0.036595 0.047744 0.060790 0.075379 0.092736
2025-11-23 0.018458 0.026853 0.036804 0.049161 0.063811 0.080369 0.100251
2025-11-30 0.017299 0.026126 0.036793 0.050243 0.066385 0.084809 0.107114
2025-12-07 0.016084 0.025224 0.036489 0.050902 0.068405 0.088570 0.113172
2025-12-14 0.014742 0.024056 0.035771 0.050987 0.069683 0.091422 0.118145
2025-12-21 0.014027 0.023659 0.035979 0.052176 0.072263 0.095789 0.124879
2025-12-28 0.012549 0.022128 0.034652 0.051377 0.072368 0.097177 0.128081
2026-01-04 0.011582 0.021264 0.034176 0.051658 0.073826 0.100232 0.133328
2026-01-11 0.010856 0.020695 0.034054 0.052368 0.075804 0.103911 0.139332
2026-01-18 0.010179 0.020149 0.033930 0.053051 0.077734 0.107530 0.145270
2026-01-25 0.008741 0.018354 0.032015 0.051316 0.076556 0.107317 0.146569
2026-02-01 0.007843 0.017316 0.031094 0.050848 0.076950 0.109000 0.150136
2026-02-08 0.007086 0.016443 0.030358 0.050588 0.077581 0.110956 0.154022
2026-02-15 0.006883 0.016461 0.030898 0.052060 0.080457 0.115709 0.161337
2026-02-22 0.006598 0.016319 0.031190 0.053183 0.082876 0.119895 0.167968
2026-03-01 0.006217 0.015983 0.031174 0.053867 0.084711 0.123349 0.173702
2026-03-08 0.005714 0.015391 0.030747 0.053955 0.085746 0.125787 0.178182
2026-03-15 0.005520 0.015343 0.031135 0.055187 0.088298 0.130147 0.185050